on Estimated risk per 06/30/2022 21:00:00
• At 10:00 AM ET, ISM manufacturing index for June. The general consensus is that the ISM should be at 55.0, up from 56.1 in May.
• At 10:00, Construction costs for May. The consensus is to increase construction spending by 0.4%.
• At the end of the day, Sale of cars for June. Passenger car sales are generally expected to be 13.6 million SAAR in June compared to 12.7 million in May (seasonally adjusted annualized).
For COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):
|Percentage fully vaccinated||66.9%||—||≥70.0%one|
|Fully vaccinated (millions)||222.1||—||≥232one|
|new cases per day3🚩||109 930||98 217||≤50002|
|hospitalized3🚩||26 648||25 110||≤30002|
|Deaths per day3🚩||317||289||≤502|
|one The minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated at 70% to 85%).
2my goals are to stop daily fasting,
37-day mean for cases currently hospitalized and deaths
🚩 Increase in the number of cases, hospitalizations and deaths per week in an average of 7 days.
✅ Goal achieved.
Click on the graph to enlarge the image.
This graph shows the daily (bars) and 7-day average (line) of reported deaths.
The average daily death rate bottomed out in July 2021 at 214 people per day.