Is there a way out of the endless cycle of elections in Israel?

While the Israeli public is waiting for the parliament, the Knesset, disbanded next week and Yair Lapid to become interim prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu and his supporters celebrated.
The fifth round of elections in less than four years is likely to take place in the fall. And despite Netanyahu testifying as witnesses in an ongoing corruption trial, he may be back in power within a few months.
CNN spoke to Yohanan Plesner, former Knesset (MK) member from the now-defunct Kadima partynow president of the Israel Institute for Democracy, a think tank in Jerusalem, on what might happen next.

What are the next steps? Is it guaranteed that Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s main coalition partner, Yair Lapid, will be the next prime minister?

If the bill to dissolve the Knesset is passed, then Lapid will automatically become prime minister until a new government is formed after elections. If the elections fail and no one can form a new government, Lapid’s term will continue and the country will return to new elections.
Until the dissolution law is passed, there is a chance that someone else… Netanyahu, for example – could instead form an alternative government in the current Knesset.

When will the elections take place?

If the Knesset votes to dissolve itself, it will also set an election date. This must happen in at least ninety days and within five months. The coalition and opposition usually agree on an exact date, with the most likely options being either late October or early November.

What path must Netanyahu take to return to power? Can he do it without elections?

To return to power without an election, Netanyahu will need to convince the 61 members of the current Knesset to vote in support of the government he leads. Considering that six-seater, mostly with the support of the Arabs The joint list said it would not do so, Netanyahu’s allies would need to convince at least seven additional members of the current coalition to join them. All party leaders in the current coalition have said they will not do this and would rather go to the polls than sit in a Netanyahu-led government.

What are his chances of winning the most seats in the next election?

All polls now show that Netanyahu’s Likud party will win the largest number of seats in parliament – about 35 seats in a 120-seat parliament. Israel’s parliamentary system requires a ruling coalition to be supported by at least 61 MPs, so winning a majority of seats does not in itself guarantee that Netanyahu will return to the prime minister’s office. To do this, the Likud leader needs others right wing and the religious parties that would have supported him in government voted strongly. Polls show that Netanyahu’s “bloc” is currently on track to win 58 to 60 seats.

Is there a way out of this endless cycle of elections in Israel?

On average, elections in Israel have been held every 2.6 years since 1996. This ongoing crisis will not end until Israeli leaders put their political differences aside and pass long overdue electoral and constitutional reforms, such as any attempt to trigger early elections. depends on a two-thirds majority in Parliament and the amendment of the current law, which requires new elections if the budget is not passed.

What is the root cause of this political impasse?

This perfect storm of political dysfunction is the result of the systematic failure of our electoral system, coupled with the unique situation of a candidate for prime minister being on trial and therefore members of his own political camp not sitting with him in government. This will most likely continue until one side wins a substantial majority in parliament or Netanyahu decides to take a break from public life until his legal issues are resolved.

Digest

Middle Eastern states pressure Biden to devise strategy to contain Iran

During a visit to Washington earlier this month, Saudi Deputy Defense Minister Khalid bin Salman expressed concern that the US has yet to formulate a comprehensive strategy to deal with Iran’s nuclear ambitions, ballistic missile arsenal and support for regional militant groups, sources familiar with the discussions told CNN.
  • Background: The US has said the prospects for reaching a nuclear deal with Iran are slim, and Middle East officials have said the administration has not yet told its allies what a “Plan B” would be in case negotiations fail. Sources said the administration said it would continue economic pressure on Iran and step up sanctions if the deal did not go through. The US is also working to build a regional coalition against Iran, calling on the Gulf states to integrate all of their air and missile defense systems against Iranian attacks.
  • Why is it important: Concern over a possible escalation in Iranian tensions has sparked a wider diplomatic shift between Israel and the Gulf states, leading to normalization agreements with Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates. The insecure security environment has led Israel to actively push for Biden to visit Saudi Arabia and meet with the Saudi Crown Prince, several officials said.

Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov arrived in Iran

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov was scheduled to arrive in Tehran on Wednesday to discuss the nuclear deal with Iran and the situation in Ukraine, the Russian foreign ministry said. The trip will be his first under the leadership of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi.

  • Background: This visit will be the last in a series of visits by Russian officials to Iran. Last month, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak met with Iranian Oil Minister Javad Oudji in Tehran to discuss a swap for oil and gas, Russian news agency TASS reported.
  • Why is it important: The meeting comes at a time when Russia is trying to strengthen ties with traditional allies amid Western sanctions on its economy and energy exports. Russia and Iran, under Western sanctions, have some of the world’s largest oil reserves. Russia is also involved in talks Iran is holding with world powers to renew the 2015 nuclear deal.

Turkish parliament to consider media bill criticized by journalists

Protesters in Istanbul on Tuesday opposed a media bill that the Turkish government says will crack down on “disinformation” but which media rights groups say will step up a years-long crackdown on critical reporting.

  • Background: The legislation is one of a series of steps taken in President Tayyip Erdogan’s two decades in office that have raised concerns among human rights groups that the minority media, where dissent and critical views are still being voiced, is being silenced. The parliament is expected to start discussing the bill on Wednesday.
  • Why is it important: Of key concern to critics of the bill is the article, which states that those who disseminate false information about the country’s security and public order in order to create fear and disrupt public order face imprisonment for a term of one to three years. The bill will also apply the same rules to digital media as to traditional media.

By region

For years, tourists arriving in Lebanon have been accustomed to seeing politically biased tributes to Hezbollah leaders, Lebanese martyrs and even a murdered Iranian general. Qasem Soleimani when leaving Beirut airport. It’s not like that anymore.

Those billboards on the highway from the country’s only airport are now being replaced with images of landmarks and tourist spots.

The project is the brainchild of Tourism Minister Walid Nassar. in an interview with local media that political banners were not appreciated by tourists.

Nassar asked the media teams of Hezbollah and its Amal allies “with love and respect” to provide some of the advertising space around the highway to promote Lebanon’s tourist destinations “for at least the next four months,” he said. interview with Al Jadeed News this month. Hezbollah agreed, and new banners appeared late last week.

“I never thought I would live to see the day when Beirut Airport is so Lebanese,” wrote a Twitter user.

Having recovered from the economic collapse, the government is trying to put the country back on the tourist map. Federation of Tourist Institutions Secretary-General Jean Beiruti told local MTV this month that bookings in mountainous and coastal areas are on the rise. “We should congratulate ourselves,” he said.

Mohammed Abdelbari

800

The number of Syrian refugees returning to their country from Turkey each week. Turkey is home to about 3.7 million Syrians, the largest group of refugees in the world, but deteriorating public sentiment has forced the government to make plans for their return.

Photo of the day

A Palestinian Muslim pilgrim receives a dose of the Covid-19 vaccine at the Rafah border crossing with Egypt on June 21, heading to Saudi Arabia for the annual Hajj pilgrimage.