on Estimated risk per 07/07/2022 21:11:00
to me June employment preview
Goldman payroll preview for June
Friday:
• At 8:30 am ET, Employment report for June. The consensus is that 270,000 jobs will be added and the unemployment rate will remain unchanged at 3.6%.
For COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):
COVID metrics | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Currently | A week Back |
Target | ||
Percentage fully vaccinated | 66.9% | — | ≥70.0%one | |
Fully vaccinated (millions) | 222.3 | — | ≥232one | |
new cases per day3 | 106 549 | 110 875 | ≤50002 | |
hospitalized3🚩 | 28 891 | 26 959 | ≤30002 | |
Deaths per day3 | 273 | 345 | ≤502 | |
one The minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated at 70% to 85%). 2my goals are to stop daily fasting, 37-day mean for cases currently hospitalized and deaths 🚩 Increase in the number of cases, hospitalizations and deaths per week in an average of 7 days. ✅ Goal achieved. |
This graph shows the daily (bars) and 7-day average (line) of reported deaths.
The average daily death rate bottomed out in July 2021 at 214 people per day.