Settlement Risk: Friday: Employment Report

on Estimated risk per 07/07/2022 21:11:00

to me June employment preview

Goldman payroll preview for June

• At 8:30 am ET, Employment report for June. The consensus is that 270,000 jobs will be added and the unemployment rate will remain unchanged at 3.6%.

For COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

COVID metrics
Currently A week
Percentage fully vaccinated 66.9% ≥70.0%one
Fully vaccinated (millions) 222.3 ≥232one
new cases per day3 106 549 110 875 ≤50002
hospitalized3🚩 28 891 26 959 ≤30002
Deaths per day3 273 345 ≤502
one The minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated at 70% to 85%).
2my goals are to stop daily fasting,
37-day mean for cases currently hospitalized and deaths
🚩 Increase in the number of cases, hospitalizations and deaths per week in an average of 7 days.

✅ Goal achieved.

COVID-19 Positive tests per dayClick on the graph to enlarge the image.

This graph shows the daily (bars) and 7-day average (line) of reported deaths.

The average daily death rate bottomed out in July 2021 at 214 people per day.