Covid simulations failed to predict final wave, minister says

Hospitals are overwhelmed with cases of Covid and flu, and one minister admitted that simulations have not been able to handle the current predicament.

The Queensland health minister acknowledged that the Covid-19 simulations released earlier this year failed to predict how intense the final wave would be.

The admission comes after the state reported another 6,682 new cases in the last 24 hours, with the number of active cases now pushing 50,000.

In Queensland, 967 hospital beds are occupied by Covid or flu patients.

At the same time, another 2,477 healthcare workers are ill with Covid, putting a strain on the hospital system.

Health Minister Yvette D’Ate was asked about the situation in light of the Covid simulations released earlier this year.

“We thought both the advice we received and the modeling we saw at the beginning of the year is what you expect… we will have waves for months and years, but they will gradually decrease and our immunity will be strengthened. “. This was reported to journalists by Ms. D’At on Monday.

“But with these new options and sub-options, we don’t see that.

“Now we see higher waves than before.

“We don’t know what will happen, but we do know what we can do to try and slow the spread.”

However, Ms D’Ath said it was “just a simulation” and while experts are doing their best to predict the impact of Covid, its future direction remains unknown.

“We will never be able to completely remove it. But we know what we can do to slow the spread, and no matter what the simulations show, we can all do our bit by getting vaccinated, wearing masks, sanitizing and washing our hands properly, and staying at home when not feeling well. feel,” she said.

“All the really simple things that we can all control can make a difference.”

Queensland Australian Medical Association President Maria Boulton on Monday painted a bleak picture of an already overburdened health care system being overwhelmed with cases of Covid and influenza.

“I was in the emergency room a few weeks ago and I saw stretchers in the corridors with people waiting to be admitted to the emergency room and paramedics waiting with them until they were taken,” she told Brisbane Radio 4BC.

“I saw ambulances waiting outside with a ramp waiting for their patients to arrive at the hospital.

“I saw patients who were in intensive care for at least 23 hours, waiting for their bed in the hospital.

“The ambulance is full.”

Originally published as Covid simulations failed to predict intensity of latest wave, minister says