Settlement Risk: Thursday: Q2 GDP, Jobless Claims

in Estimated risk per 27.07.2022 21:01:00

Thursday:
• At 8:30 am ET initial weekly jobless claims the report will be published. The consensus is 248K compared to 251K last week.

• Also at 8:30 am Gross domestic product, 2nd quarter (provisional) and annual update. By all accounts, real GDP increased 0.4% year-on-year in the second quarter, compared with -1.6% in the first quarter.

• At 11:00, Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey for July. This is the last of the regional surveys for July.

For COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

The number of hospitalizations has nearly quadrupled since the April 2022 low.

COVID metrics
Currently A week
Back
Target
new cases per day2🚩 127 786 126 610 ≤5000one
hospitalized2🚩 36 909 35 126 ≤3000one
Deaths per day2 366 391 ≤50one
onemy goals are to stop daily fasting,
27-day mean for cases currently hospitalized and deaths
🚩 Increase in the number of cases, hospitalizations and deaths per week in an average of 7 days.

✅ Goal with.


COVID-19 Positive tests per dayClick on the graph to enlarge the image.

This graph shows the daily (bars) and 7-day average (line) of reported deaths.

The average daily death rate bottomed out in July 2021 at 214 people per day.